Amended - Senior Forecasting Specialist

Found in: beBee jobs CA - 2 weeks ago

Toronto, Ontario, Canada Ombudsman Ontario Full time

Effective April 1, 2024 the salary range for this position is $82,217 to $121,155 per year in compliance with AMAPCEO collective agreement provisions.

The new rates, effective retroactive to April 1, 2024, were recently confirmed and dates for implementation of the new salary rates are still to be determined.

The Ministry of Education's Education Modelling and Forecasting Branch has a challenging opportunity for a highly skilled, team-oriented individual. Support the funding of Ontario's education system through your expertise in data analysis, visualization, modelling, and econometrics.


As a key member of our team, play a crucial part in supporting the funding of Ontario's education system by providing expert advice on complex policy issues that directly impact millions of students.

Your role will involve offering expert guidance on statistical and econometric matters, ensuring our policies are informed by robust analysis and data-driven decision-making.

About us:


The Education Modelling and Forecasting Branch develops analyses, enrolment projections, and options for refinements to education funding formula to support broader education policy changes.

The branch prepares the annual grant regulations that determine each school board's revenue from Grants for Student Needs.

OPS Commitment to Diversity, Inclusion, Accessibility, and Anti-Racism:We are committed to build a workforce that reflects the communities we serve and to promote a diverse, anti-racist, inclusive, accessible, merit-based, respectful and equitable workplace.


We invite all interested individuals to apply and encourage applications from people with disabilities, Indigenous, Black, and racialized individuals, as well as people from a diversity of ethnic and cultural origins, sexual orientations, gender identities and expressions.


Visit the OPS Anti-Racism Policy and the OPS Diversity and Inclusion Blueprint pages to learn more about the OPS commitment to advance racial equity, accessibility, diversity, and inclusion in the public service.


We offer employment accommodation across the recruitment process and all aspects of employment consistent with the requirements of Ontario's Human Rights Code.

Refer to the "How to apply" section if you require a disability-related accommodation.

What can I expect to do in this role?In this role, you will:

  • Coordinate and lead major research projects
  • Lead the development of quantitative tools and forecasting models for the Branch
  • Provide expert advice and information on statistical and econometric issues
  • Evaluate the financial impacts of policy options, and develop recommendations
  • Liaise and consult with internal and external stakeholders
  • Brief senior officials on education finance issues and participate in ministry wide and divisional committees and inter-ministerial committees
How do I qualify?Forecasting and Modelling Expertise

  • You have demonstrated expertise in econometric theory, statistical principles, forecasting methodologies and sampling techniques.
  • You have demonstrated experience the design and development of computer simulation models for forecasting grant requirements of the student-focused funding model.
  • You have knowledge of research theory/methods and quantitative statistical analysis methods and techniques.
  • You have experience interpreting and applying legislation, regulations, objectives, policies and trends.
  • You have expert knowledge of project management principles and methods to plan and lead model development and analysis projects.
  • You have comprehensive knowledge of education finance and the Ontario student-focused funding model to identify and acquire related information from internal/external data sources.
  • You have high proficiency and technical skills in spreadsheet and database design and development.
Communication and Relationship Management Skills

  • You have excellent relationship management, team work and leadership skills to initiate and maintain strong and cooperative working relationships with colleagues and external/internal stakeholders.
  • You have political acuity to be able to use effective interpersonal, facilitation and persuasion skills to ascertain stakeholder positions, anticipate issues and resolve conflict.
  • You have well developed consultation, advisory and presentation skills.
  • You have excellent communication skills to provide briefings and updates to ministry officials and senior management regarding education finance issues.
  • You can demonstrate excellent written communication skills to produce comprehensive reports, compile and analyze complex economic data, and prepare briefings and executive correspondence.
Judgment, Research and Analytical Skills

  • You have excellent judgement and ability to work with a high level of initiative and independence.
  • You can demonstrate effective time management skills to balance concurrent work initiatives and occasionally conflicting demands.
  • You have exceptional research and analytical skills to analyze and assess financial impacts and effectiveness of policy options, and develop recommendations.
  • You have knowledge of risk management principles and practices to analyze financial impacts and effectiveness of policy options.
  • You have advanced knowledge of computerized research tools including internet-based research methods and computer model development software.
  • You have computer proficiency including word processing, database, spreadsheets and presentation software.

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