Superforecaster
24 hours ago
1. Role Overview Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a high-impact research initiative focused on improving AI systems' long-range reasoning and predictive capabilities. We’re seeking elite superforecasters—especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF)—to contribute structured, high-quality forecasts across domains such as geopolitics, macroeconomics, and global events. This is a rare opportunity to collaborate with top experts and researchers shaping the future of AI forecasting models. 2. Key Responsibilities Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks 3. Ideal Qualifications Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF) Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks 4. More About the Opportunity Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule Expected commitment: ~10–20 hours/week 5. Compensation & Contract Terms $140–245/hour for U.S.-based applicantt You’ll be classified as an independent contractor 6. Application Process Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started You’ll complete a brief form We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps 7. About Mercor Mercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI
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Superforecaster
5 days ago
Toronto, Canada Mercor Full timeRole Overview Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a high‑impact research initiative focused on improving AI systems' long‑range reasoning and predictive capabilities. We’re seeking elite superforecasters—especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the...
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Superforecaster
4 days ago
Toronto, Canada Mercor Full timeRole Overview Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a high‑impact research initiative focused on improving AI systems' long‑range reasoning and predictive capabilities. We’re seeking elite superforecasters —especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the...
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Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst
2 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeSr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst 2 days ago Be among the first 25 applicants Get AI-powered advice on this job and more exclusive features. This range is provided by Mercor. Your actual pay will be based on your skills and experience — talk with your recruiter to learn more. Base pay range $140.00/hr - $245.00/hr About The Job Mercor connects...
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Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Victoria, Surrey, Halton Hills, London, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading talent marketplace for AI research is seeking a Sr. Superforecasting Geopolitical Analyst to deliver evidence-backed forecasts on complex questions. The ideal candidate will have strong analytical skills and experience in high-stakes forecasting. This role is remote and requires an independent contractor working 10–20 hours per week. Competitive...
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Remote Senior Geopolitical Forecaster
2 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading technology firm is seeking a Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst to deliver evidence-backed forecasts on complex questions. This remote, part-time role involves documenting methodologies and participating in peer reviews. Ideal candidates will have recognized affiliations and a track record of forecasting accuracy. Join us to evaluate...
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Remote Senior Geopolitical Forecaster
3 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Victoria, Surrey, Halton Hills, London, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading AI talent connection firm is seeking a Senior Superforecaster Geopolitical Analyst to deliver evidence-backed forecasts and document methodologies. Ideal candidates will have a recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization and experience in high-stakes forecasting tournaments. This part-time, remote role offers competitive compensation...
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Geopolitics Forecaster
24 hours ago
Toronto, Canada Mercor Full time1. Role Overview Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their...
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Forecasting Analyst – Remote | $245/hr Max
2 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeForecasting Analyst – Remote | $245/hr Max This range is provided by Mercor. Your actual pay will be based on your skills and experience — talk with your recruiter to learn more. Base Pay Range $140.00/hr - $245.00/hr Position Superforecaster (Independent Contractor) Location Remote Commitment 10–20 hours/week Role Responsibilities Deliver calibrated,...
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Forecasting Analyst – Remote | Up to $245/hr
3 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Victoria, Surrey, Halton Hills, London, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeForecasting Analyst – Remote | Up to $245/hr 1 day ago Be among the first 25 applicants Get AI-powered advice on this job and more exclusive features. This range is provided by Mercor. Your actual pay will be based on your skills and experience — talk with your recruiter to learn more. Base pay range $140.00/hr - $245.00/hr About The Job Mercor connects...
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Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading AI forecasting firm is seeking a Forecasting Analyst for a remote position. Candidates will deliver evidence-backed forecasts and document methodologies clearly. Essential qualifications include a recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization and proven forecasting accuracy. This independent contractor role offers competitive pay of...
