Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst
2 weeks ago
Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst 2 days ago Be among the first 25 applicants Get AI-powered advice on this job and more exclusive features. This range is provided by Mercor. Your actual pay will be based on your skills and experience — talk with your recruiter to learn more. Base pay range $140.00/hr - $245.00/hr About The Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey. Position details Position: Superforecaster Type: Independent Contractor Compensation: $140–$245/hour Location: Remote Commitment: 10–20 hours/week Role Responsibilities Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions. Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure. Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement. Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria. Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks. Qualifications Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF). Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years. Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments. Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills. Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks. Compensation & Legal Independent contractor Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete) Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started. Complete a brief form. We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps. Resources & Support For details about the interview process and platform information, please check: https://talent.docs.mercor.com/welcome/welcome For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com Seniority level Not Applicable Employment type Part-time Job function Research Industries Software Development #J-18808-Ljbffr
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Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Victoria, Surrey, Halton Hills, London, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading talent marketplace for AI research is seeking a Sr. Superforecasting Geopolitical Analyst to deliver evidence-backed forecasts on complex questions. The ideal candidate will have strong analytical skills and experience in high-stakes forecasting. This role is remote and requires an independent contractor working 10–20 hours per week. Competitive...
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Remote Senior Geopolitical Forecaster
2 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading technology firm is seeking a Sr. Geopolitical Superforecasting Analyst to deliver evidence-backed forecasts on complex questions. This remote, part-time role involves documenting methodologies and participating in peer reviews. Ideal candidates will have recognized affiliations and a track record of forecasting accuracy. Join us to evaluate...
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Remote Senior Geopolitical Forecaster
3 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Victoria, Surrey, Halton Hills, London, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeA leading AI talent connection firm is seeking a Senior Superforecaster Geopolitical Analyst to deliver evidence-backed forecasts and document methodologies. Ideal candidates will have a recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization and experience in high-stakes forecasting tournaments. This part-time, remote role offers competitive compensation...
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Geopolitics Forecaster
7 hours ago
Toronto, Canada Mercor Full time1. Role Overview Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their...
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Superforecaster
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Toronto, Canada Mercor Full timeRole Overview Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a high‑impact research initiative focused on improving AI systems' long‑range reasoning and predictive capabilities. We’re seeking elite superforecasters—especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the...
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Superforecaster
3 days ago
Toronto, Canada Mercor Full timeRole Overview Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a high‑impact research initiative focused on improving AI systems' long‑range reasoning and predictive capabilities. We’re seeking elite superforecasters —especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the...
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Superforecaster
7 hours ago
Toronto, Canada Mercor Full time1. Role Overview Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a high-impact research initiative focused on improving AI systems' long-range reasoning and predictive capabilities. We’re seeking elite superforecasters—especially those affiliated with institutions like the Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative (RFI), or the...
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Geopolitical Risk Forecasting Analyst | $125/hr
2 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeGeopolitical Risk Forecasting Analyst | $125/hr About The Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey. Position: Geopolitical Expert Type: Contract Compensation:...
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Geopolitical Risk Forecasting Analyst
1 week ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Surrey, Victoria, London, Halton Hills, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeBase pay range $105.00/hr - $125.00/hr About the Job Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Peter Thiel, Adam D'Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey. Position: Geopolitical Expert Type: Contract Compensation: $105–$125/hour...
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Geopolitical Analyst
3 weeks ago
Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Vancouver, Edmonton, Old Toronto, Ottawa, Mississauga, Quebec, Winnipeg, Halifax, Saskatoon, Burnaby, Hamilton, Victoria, Surrey, Halton Hills, London, Regina, Markham, Brampton, Vaughan, Kelowna, Laval, Southwestern Ontario, R, Canada Mercor Full timeGeopolitical Analyst - Forecasting Expert | Upto $125/hr Hourly 1 day ago Be among the first 25 applicants Get AI-powered advice on this job and more exclusive features. This range is provided by Mercor. Your actual pay will be based on your skills and experience — talk with your recruiter to learn more. Base pay range $105.00/hr - $125.00/hr About The Job...
